Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 18.834313 21.523263 24.591023 28.378325 32.967434 38.398817 45.389743
2025-08-10 15.089964 18.367892 22.440503 27.966349 35.418990 45.351322 60.001812
2025-08-17 12.943389 16.407327 20.958066 27.541619 37.119258 51.056197 73.927112
2025-08-24 11.502311 15.047572 19.914392 27.330004 38.821064 56.861704 89.465779
2025-08-31 10.253087 13.745606 18.708188 26.590602 39.455264 60.994625 103.381089
2025-09-07 9.369730 12.837219 17.918740 26.301869 40.661363 66.231655 120.996997
2025-09-14 8.407601 11.704314 16.647227 25.037201 39.949927 67.818983 131.748599
2025-09-21 7.575002 10.685177 15.437793 23.700219 38.857167 68.397919 140.457794
2025-09-28 6.991053 9.994061 14.672528 23.009063 38.814377 71.026630 155.069796
2025-10-05 7.202224 10.555168 15.971869 26.088459 46.539688 92.124911 229.072712
2025-10-12 7.008642 10.445057 16.135298 27.114247 50.341163 105.622394 290.843616
2025-10-19 6.542012 9.847141 15.401233 26.330239 50.105753 109.071315 321.226583
2025-10-26 6.346655 9.705296 15.483731 27.221129 53.951849 124.995560 414.616125
2025-11-02 5.982501 9.248702 14.960594 26.824435 54.741049 132.792480 483.028281
2025-11-09 5.654615 8.829919 14.467287 26.422536 55.437846 140.630869 561.707881
2025-11-16 5.383211 8.490633 14.091542 26.222083 56.610953 150.528767 666.485664
2025-11-23 5.075976 8.066806 13.519766 25.521530 56.334680 155.494963 749.753173
2025-11-30 4.844124 7.764171 13.157565 25.247881 57.178211 164.929234 883.153797
2025-12-07 4.528127 7.289843 12.425353 24.048689 55.207917 163.071626 925.887945
2025-12-14 4.227314 6.828778 11.691568 22.779856 52.852854 159.064939 946.847321
2025-12-21 4.012494 6.516492 11.235607 22.123485 52.204456 161.924051 1042.300636
2025-12-28 4.169123 6.905877 12.223132 25.045587 63.076140 220.702023 1998.612119
2026-01-04 4.122535 6.905420 12.406965 26.017695 68.120407 256.999778 2960.713066